Intelligence
What is Confidence level?
How sure an analyst is in a judgement, usually stated as low, moderate or high, based on the quality and quantity of evidence.
A confidence level states how much an analyst trusts their own judgement, typically as low, moderate or high. It reflects the quality of the sources, how much independent evidence supports the conclusion and how plausible the alternatives are.
Confidence is not the same as probability. An analyst can judge something "likely" with low confidence when evidence is thin. Stating both lets readers see how much weight a conclusion can bear.